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Day: January 12, 2025

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Master of the Forge EA


Here’s the detailed analysis for your new EA, Master of the Forge – XAUUSD M30-unlocked:

General Overview

  • Symbol: XAUUSD (Gold vs USD)
  • Testing Period: From May 7, 2003, to December 31, 2024, using the 30-minute timeframe (M30).
  • Initial Deposit: $10,000
  • Total Net Profit: $94,449.51
  • Gross Profit: $259,425.54
  • Gross Loss: -$164,976.03
  • Profit Factor: 1.57 (indicating that the EA made $1.57 for every $1 lost).

Performance Highlights

  • Total Trades: 7,228
    • Short Positions (won %): 3,136 (44.42%)
    • Long Positions (won %): 4,092 (47.80%)
  • Winning Trades: 3,349 (46.33% of total trades)
  • Losing Trades: 3,879 (53.67% of total trades)

Profit and Loss

  • Largest Profit Trade: $925.30
  • Largest Loss Trade: -$1,488.30
  • Average Profit per Trade: $77.46
  • Average Loss per Trade: -$42.53

Risk and Drawdown

  • Absolute Drawdown: $1,289.06
  • Maximal Drawdown: $3,793.58 (4.34%)
  • Relative Drawdown: 14.63%

Consecutive Trades

  • Maximum Consecutive Wins: 17 trades, totaling $2,314.62
  • Maximum Consecutive Losses: 23 trades, totaling -$1,881.73
  • Maximal Consecutive Profit: $4,163.84 over 9 winning trades
  • Maximal Consecutive Loss: -$1,881.73 over 23 losing trades
  • Average Consecutive Wins: 3
  • Average Consecutive Losses: 4

Key Insights

  1. Profitability: The EA shows a solid net profit of $94,449.51, with a profit factor of 1.57, indicating profitability but a slight margin over costs.
  2. Win Rate: The win rates for both short and long positions are moderate, with long positions having a slightly higher success rate.
  3. Risk Management: The maximal drawdown is relatively low at 4.34%, suggesting a more controlled risk profile compared to previous EAs. The relative drawdown of 14.63% indicates a reasonable balance between profit potential and risk.
  4. Trade Efficiency: The average profit per trade is higher than the average loss per trade, indicating favorable trade outcomes.
  5. Consecutive Trades: The EA manages to string together up to 17 consecutive winning trades, with a maximum consecutive loss streak of 23 trades, which is relatively high and suggests potential periods of volatility.

Recommendations

  • Risk Fine-Tuning: The EA’s drawdown levels are manageable, but further fine-tuning the Martingale multiplier or trade lot sizes could help in mitigating the potential for long losing streaks.
  • Win Rate Improvement: Strategies to slightly improve the win rate, such as refining entry criteria or using additional indicators, might enhance overall performance.
  • Monitoring Long Losing Streaks: Since the EA experiences relatively long losing streaks, it may benefit from incorporating measures to halt trading temporarily or adjust strategies during such periods to minimize losses.