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Fact Faq #3: What parts could be cut out?

Considering removing unnecessary parts or reducing certain processes can help improve efficiency and reduce processing time. Here are some suggestions for possible cuts or reductions:

1. Number of strategies in the Building phase:

Currently: You create 20 different strategies.
Suggestion: Try reducing the number of strategies generated in each cycle, starting by selecting the most likely successful strategies. For example, choose 10 strategies that are popular in the current market conditions or have been tested and are more likely to yield good results.

2. Number of currency pairs in the Melting phase:

Currently: You test all 30 currency pairs.
Suggestion: Reduce the number of currency pairs in the initial test rounds. You may select major currency pairs with high liquidity, such as EUR/USD, GBP/USD, etc., which will reduce the overall testing time.

3. Timeframes in testing:

Currently: Testing is done on 10 timeframes.
Suggestion: Try reducing the number of timeframes used in the test, focusing on only relevant timeframes to your developed strategies, such as H1/H4 or M15/H1, which are more likely to give accurate results.

4. Automatic Retest phase:

Currently: You perform Automatic Retest multiple times.
Suggestion: Reduce the number of Automatic Retest cycles. Perform it only once after the Monte Carlo test to save time.

5. Use of Monte Carlo:

Currently: Using multiple Monte Carlo methods.
Suggestion: Consider using only one method that gives the most appropriate result or use it only in the final round of testing to save time.

6. Walk-Forward Matrix:

Currently: You use the Walk-Forward Matrix in multiple steps.
Suggestion: Reduce the use of the Walk-Forward Matrix in some steps and use it only in the final step to confirm the best results.

7. Adding new steps in the Ending phase:

Currently: You add new steps in each cycle.

Suggestion: Try limiting the addition of new steps in certain cycles, or only when unsatisfactory results are found from previous testing.
These reductions will help reduce overall processing time and make your EA creation more efficient without sacrificing the quality of the results obtained.

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Fact Faq #2: Disadvantage or a Good outcome?

Your current step-by-step process has both advantages and disadvantages to consider:

Advantages

Strategy diversity: Creating 20 strategies allows for greater trading diversity, increasing the chance of finding effective strategies in different market conditions.
Comprehensive testing: Backtesting with multiple currency pairs and different timeframes provides a comprehensive view of the strategy’s performance in various conditions, making the results more reliable.
Monte Carlo and Walk-Forward Testing: Increases confidence in the robustness of the strategy, as these tests simulate unexpected situations and market fluctuations.

Disadvantages

Time-consuming: Complex steps like backtesting and parameter adjustments for each strategy require significant processing time, which may hinder strategy development and improvement within limited time.
High resource consumption: Testing multiple iterations and multiple timeframes requires high computer resources, potentially causing delays on lower-performance machines.
Complexity of the process: The diverse and complex steps can make result analysis challenging and may increase the possibility of errors during processing.

Evaluation

Positive results if you can efficiently manage processing time and resources, and the results from comprehensive testing can be used to improve strategy effectiveness.
Negative aspects if the long processing time and high resource requirements prevent you from making timely improvements or developing, or causing the strategy to be delayed in responding to changing market conditions.

You can assess which steps take too long and consider reducing or simplifying those steps to improve overall efficiency.

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Fact Faq #1: Summary my setup.

These are the steps for creating our EA, based on our conversation. Please clarify and analyze which parts take too long. My complete EA creation steps:

A. Building..

1. Creating 20 strategies using Genetic Evolution.
1.1 Breakout Strategy
1.2 Carry Trade Strategy
1.3 Cycle-Based Trend Reentry Strategy
1.4 Day Trading Strategy
1.5 Dynamic Momentum and Price Rejection Strategy
1.6 Grid Trading
1.7 Market Chaos and Divergence Strategy
1.8 Mean Reversion on Trend Weakness
1.9 Multi-Timeframe Divergence Strategy
1.10 News Trading
1.11 Oscillator Reversion and Momentum Burst Strategy
1.12 Position Trading
1.13 Price Action Trading
1.14 Range Trading Strategy
1.15 Retracement Trading
1.16 Scalping Strategy
1.17 Sentiment and Momentum Reversal Strategy
1.18 Swing Trading
1.19 Trend Channel Momentum Strategy
1.20 Trend Trading Strategy

* Using TF H1/H4 – Opened Timeframe – Ranking Profit > 1.4 Ret/DD >4 Min trade per month > 2 – No Cross check / Rubustness test
** Entering always includes Enter at market / Reverse / Stop / Limit pending
*** Filtering each step with 25 entries per market entry type, totaling 100 entries per main category, and a total of 2000 entries.
**** Enabling Exit types: MoveSL2BE / SL2BE add pips / Profit target / Stop loss / Trailing stop / Trailing activation / Exit rules
***** Trading option: Friday Exit 23:00
****** Money management: Risk fixed % of account

 

A. Building Improved

• Create 20 strategies using Genetic Evolution, which takes time for filtering and refining.
• Filtering 25 strategies for market entry and multiple exit options increases processing time.
• Setting money management complicates calculations.


B. Melting..

2. Testing all 2000 results backtested with all 30 currency pairs, separating timeframes into 10 TFs.
2.1 H1/H4 – M30/H4 – M15/H4 – M5/H4 – M5/H1 – M15/H1 – M30/H1 – M15/M30 – M5/M30 – M5/M15
2.2 Combining the above results for Automatic Retest by changing Precision to 1-minute data tick simulate, but adhering to the original trading settings.
2.2 Adding Monte Carlo trades manipulation – Monte Carlo retest methods and Sequential optimization by changing values in the respective EAs.
2.3 Saving successful files in Folder @Blender
2.4 Automatic retest using only Walk-Forward Matrix.
2.5 Saving successful files in @Melted

B. Melting Improved

• Backtesting 30 currency pairs and various timeframes is time-consuming, especially with trading value changes and Monte Carlo testing.
• Automatic retests with 1-minute tick data and Walk-Forward Matrix require high computational power.


C. Ending..

3. Loading all files in @Blender into the Initial Population to create entirely new EAs, repeating 30 times (30 currency pairs).
3.1 Creating 5 new steps: Build Martingale / ATM / Everyday Exit / Risk % account, and using all Exit types.
3.2 Automatic retest with the original trading settings for 5 timeframes (H1/H4 – m30/h4 – m15/h4 – m5/h4 – m5/h1 – m15/h1 – m30/h1). Using the original settings for Opened timeframe. Using Monte Carlo, both (trades manipulation and retest methods), and Sequential optimization. Adding strategies that passed.
3.3 Automatic retest for all, another round, with 1-minute data tick simulation, with both Monte Carlo (2 versions) and Sequential optimize as before.
3.4 Automatic retest for all, another round, using walk-forward matrix.

C. Ending Improved

• Loading files in @Blender to create 30 new EAs is time-intensive, particularly with additional strategies.
• Multiple automatic retests using Monte Carlo and Sequential Optimization increase processing time.


Conclusion:
Suggestions include reducing strategies and pairs tested, considering partial parameter adjustments, and using more efficient processing tools to save time.

 

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sound like we need to specific only 1 option and Trading Option

You’re correct that having consistent global trading options (e.g., Friday Exit, session trading, etc.) across all strategies in your portfolio ensures better alignment and reduces potential conflicts. However, exits based on specific trade mechanics—like break-even (BE), trailing stops, partial close, or exit signals—are internal to each strategy and can add flexibility without necessarily breaking portfolio coherence. Here’s a detailed look:


1. Global Trading Options (Applied to All Strategies)

These options apply uniformly to every strategy in the portfolio and impact overall behavior. Examples include:

  • Exit on Friday: Ensures no positions are held over the weekend.
  • Session/Time Range Trading: Limits trading to specific hours or sessions, useful for aligning strategies with market activity.
  • Minimum/Maximum Trades Per Day: Controls frequency to manage risk exposure.

Impact on Portfolio

  • Consistency: All strategies adhere to the same rules, simplifying management.
  • Risk Control: Reduces unpredictability from holding positions outside preferred trading windows or volatile times.
  • Correlation Impact: Aligning global options can help avoid simultaneous trades that arise due to uncoordinated trading hours.

Best Practices

  • Use Exit on Friday for all strategies to mitigate weekend gap risks.
  • Set time ranges only if strategies target specific sessions (e.g., London Breakout).
  • Avoid mixing strategies with conflicting global options (e.g., one using Friday Exit, another not).

2. Strategy-Specific Exit Mechanisms

These exits are unique to each strategy and influence trade-level performance. Examples:

  • Break-Even (BE): Moves stop-loss to entry once a certain profit threshold is hit.
  • Trailing Stop: Dynamically adjusts the stop-loss to lock in profits.
  • Partial Close: Takes partial profit at predefined levels.
  • Exit Signal: Closes the trade based on a reversal or custom indicator signal.

Impact on Portfolio

  • Enhances Strategy Independence: Each strategy operates based on its internal logic, improving diversification.
  • Risk Management: Advanced exits like BE and trailing stops reduce drawdowns and lock in gains.
  • Potential Drawback: If exits are overly aggressive or poorly optimized, they might reduce the efficiency of profitable strategies.

Correlation Impact

Internal exits generally have minimal correlation impact unless:

  1. Strategies rely on identical exit logic and triggers (e.g., all use the same trailing stop settings).
  2. Exit signals consistently align, causing simultaneous closures across multiple strategies.

3. Combining Global Options with Internal Exits

Scenario 1: Unified Global Exit Rules

  • Example: All strategies use Friday Exit, and trading is limited to 8 AM–4 PM.
  • Internal Exits Allowed: BE, trailing stops, and exit signals are tuned per strategy.
  • Result: Balanced portfolio with consistent risk control and flexibility in individual strategies.

Scenario 2: Diverse Internal Exits

  • Example: Some strategies use aggressive trailing stops, while others rely on exit signals.
  • Result: Potentially more diversified outcomes, but monitor for conflicting behaviors (e.g., strategies exiting simultaneously due to correlated conditions).

4. Recommendations

  1. Global Options:
    • Use the same trading options (e.g., Friday Exit, session limits) across all strategies in the portfolio for consistency.
    • Align global options with your trading goals (e.g., avoiding weekend gaps or managing session-specific trades).
  2. Internal Exits:
    • Optimize exits like BE, trailing stops, and partial closes per strategy, as they are independent of portfolio-wide options.
    • Avoid overly aggressive exits unless they align with the strategy’s objective (e.g., scalping).
  3. Correlation Check:
    • Run correlation analysis after applying global options and internal exits to ensure portfolio diversification.
    • If multiple strategies show high correlation, consider adjusting exits or reducing overlap in their instruments/timeframes.

Final Thought

Global trading options ensure portfolio coherence, while internal exits provide strategy-specific flexibility. As long as global rules are harmonized and internal exits are carefully optimized, they won’t negatively impact the portfolio’s overall performance. Would you like a deeper dive into optimizing these exit strategies or analyzing correlations?

 

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Portfolio improving to use different TF/Instruments

Yes, when merging strategies into a portfolio in SQX, the global trading options such as “Exit on Friday” or “Limit Trading Range” apply to the merged portfolio as a whole. This means:

  1. Instrument Consistency:
    • You can mix strategies from different instruments (e.g., XAUUSD and AUDUSD), but only if the global trading options make sense across all instruments. If trading behavior (e.g., session times) differs greatly between instruments, it might create conflicts.
  2. Timeframe Variance:
    • You can merge strategies using different timeframes (e.g., M15 and H1). However, the portfolio may become harder to interpret, especially if the global settings (e.g., exit times or trading hours) affect strategies differently across timeframes.
  3. Strategy Options Alignment:
    • If individual strategies have specific settings that conflict with global options (e.g., one strategy relies on no-limit trading hours while another limits trading to the London session), the global options will override these.

Recommendations:

  • If you want to mix different instruments or timeframes, ensure their logic and performance are robust enough to handle global settings.

  • If strategies have critical unique options, avoid merging or build separate portfolios for each configuration.

Mixing different instruments and timeframes can create diversified and robust portfolios, but it must be done carefully to avoid conflicts or inefficiencies. Here’s a structured approach:


1. Key Considerations for Mixing Instruments

  • Instrument Correlation:
    • Aim to mix instruments with low or negative correlations. For example:
      • Good combinations: XAUUSD and AUDUSD (moderate correlation); USDJPY and GBPUSD (low correlation).
      • Risky combinations: EURUSD and GBPUSD (high correlation).
    • Tools: Use correlation analysis to confirm.
  • Trading Hours and Behavior:
    • Different instruments react to different trading sessions (e.g., XAUUSD active during London/NY, USDJPY active in Tokyo).
    • Avoid instruments with conflicting optimal trading ranges unless your global options align with all.
  • Cost Structure:
    • Ensure that trading costs (spreads, commissions, swaps) don’t disproportionately impact certain instruments.

2. Key Considerations for Mixing Timeframes

  • Complementary Timeframes:
    • Combine timeframes with complementary behavior:
      • Lower timeframes (M15, M30) for capturing short-term trends or scalps.
      • Higher timeframes (H1, H4) for broader trends and stability.
    • Avoid redundancy (e.g., M15 and M30 strategies doing similar trades).
  • Position Size & Risk Management:
    • Mixed timeframes can increase overlapping trades. Apply portfolio-level position sizing to manage overall risk.
  • Execution and Synchronization:
    • Ensure your backtesting and execution environment supports smooth transitions between timeframes without timing issues.

3. Portfolio Design Suggestions

Here’s how to structure and balance portfolios with mixed instruments and timeframes:

A. Single-Timeframe, Multi-Instrument Portfolio

  • Example: XAUUSD M15, AUDUSD M15, EURUSD M15.
  • Advantages: Easier to manage global options since all strategies share the same timeframe logic.
  • Challenges: Instruments with highly different characteristics may need different filters/settings.

B. Multi-Timeframe, Single-Instrument Portfolio

  • Example: XAUUSD M15, XAUUSD H1, XAUUSD H4.
  • Advantages: Focused on a single instrument’s behavior across timeframes. Robust to changes in volatility.
  • Challenges: Risk of over-concentration if XAUUSD trends or ranges unexpectedly.

C. Multi-Timeframe, Multi-Instrument Portfolio

  • Example: XAUUSD H1, EURUSD M15, USDJPY H4.
  • Advantages: Maximum diversification of signals, less exposure to a single market.
  • Challenges: Complexity in managing global options and synchronizing trades.

4. Workflow for Building Mixed Portfolios

  1. Validate Individual Strategies:
    • Test strategies on their respective instruments and timeframes. Use robust walk-forward validation.
  2. Correlation Analysis:
    • Measure historical correlations between strategies’ equity curves, not just instruments.
  3. Simulate Portfolio:
    • Combine strategies in SQX Portfolio Master and analyze:
      • Total return and drawdown.
      • Sharpe ratio, MAR, profit factor.
  4. Apply Global Options:
    • Ensure settings like “Exit on Friday” or “Limit Trading Range” make sense across all strategies.
  5. Monitor Overlap:
    • Watch for overlapping trades that could inflate risk or strain account margin.

Example Scenarios

Scenario 1: Balanced Portfolio

  • XAUUSD H1 (Trend-following).
  • EURUSD M15 (Mean reversion).
  • USDJPY H4 (Breakout).
  • Outcome: Well-diversified, different strategies complement each other.

Scenario 2: Aggressive Scalping

  • XAUUSD M15 (Scalping).
  • GBPUSD M5 (Scalping).
  • AUDUSD M15 (Scalping).
  • Outcome: High trade frequency, suitable for high-volatility periods, but riskier due to correlation.

5. Tools to Support Mixed Portfolios

  • Correlation Analysis Tools (available in SQX Portfolio Master).
  • Monte Carlo Simulations: Stress-test portfolio robustness with random sequence variations.
  • Walk-Forward Matrix: Ensure each strategy is robust independently before merging.

Key Advice

If what you’re doing aligns with these points—correlation analysis, managing global options, ensuring diversity—it’s on the right track. If you’re skipping global coherence checks or overloading similar strategies (e.g., scalping on correlated pairs), adjust your approach.

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Topic-Based Filter VS. Mixed Criteria Filter #1

I apply a topic based filter here, sorting by the best IS, followed by the best OOs in that topic. The result is in the topic @Expert Advisor Performance Review Or do I apply a topic based filter by IS, followed by OOs that focus on something unrelated to the main topic? For example, filtering for the best Stability IS, followed by the second best Profits Factor or Cagr/dd%?
It sounds like you’re considering two different approaches to filtering your strategies. Here’s a breakdown of both methods:

  1. Topic-Based Filter:

    • Sort by the best IS (Importance Score) in a specific topic first, followed by sorting by the best OOs (Out-of-Sample performance) within that same topic.
    • This approach ensures that you focus on strategies that are not only well-ranked within the same criteria but also relevant to a specific trading theme or topic. It can help you build a coherent portfolio centered on a particular strategy style or market condition.
  2. Mixed Criteria Filter:

    • Filter by the best Stability IS, followed by the second-best Profit Factor or CAGR/Max DD% that may not necessarily relate to the initial Stability topic.
    • This approach allows for more diversification in your selection process, potentially leading to a more balanced portfolio. It could help in identifying strategies that excel in different areas, even if they are not directly related.

Recommendation:

  • If your goal is to create a focused portfolio centered on a specific trading philosophy or market condition, the first method (topic-based filter) is likely more effective.

  • If you aim to have a diverse portfolio with strategies excelling in various performance metrics, the second method (mixed criteria filter) would be beneficial.

Consider your overall strategy and objectives when deciding which filtering method to apply…

If you’re opting for the Mixed Criteria Filter with one selection for each filter, you can prioritize the metrics based on what is most critical for your trading strategy. Here’s a suggested approach:

  1. First Filter (IS): Choose the metric that aligns best with your trading goals and risk tolerance. Here are a few options:
    • Sharpe Ratio: This is a solid choice if you want to focus on risk-adjusted returns. A higher Sharpe Ratio indicates better returns for the level of risk taken.
    • CAGR/Max DD%: If you’re particularly concerned about long-term growth relative to drawdown, this metric provides insight into the strategy’s growth potential while considering drawdown risk.
    • Profit Factor: This metric helps to assess how much profit a strategy makes compared to its losses. It’s useful if you want to ensure the strategy is consistently profitable.

    Recommended Choice: Sharpe Ratio – It gives a comprehensive view of risk-adjusted performance, which is crucial for evaluating trading strategies.

  2. Second Filter (OOS): This filter will provide insights into the strategy’s out-of-sample performance. Choose the metric that best reflects your priorities for OOS evaluation:
    • Net Profit: This is straightforward and gives a clear view of overall profitability.
    • Consecutive Win/Loss: If you’re focused on stability and consistency, this metric can highlight how often the strategy wins or loses in succession, which might be important for managing psychological aspects of trading.

    Recommended Choice: Net Profit – It provides a clear indicator of how well the strategy performs in real-world conditions beyond backtesting.

Summary of Selections:

  • First Filter (IS): Sharpe Ratio
  • Second Filter (OOS): Net Profit

This combination should help you identify robust strategies that are not only effective in backtesting but also demonstrate solid performance in out-of-sample evaluations.

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SQX and FTMO setup #2 ranking – parameters

To ensure your trading strategy aligns with FTMO guidelines and efficiently trades XAUUSD while managing risk effectively, here’s how to set up, rank, and parameterize your strategies in StrategyQuant X (SQX):

Setup/Parameters in SQX:

  1. Trade Sizing Setup:
    • Money Management Rules: Configure the strategy to use fixed fractional position sizing, targeting 1%-2% of account risk per trade.
    • Max Daily Risk Cap: Implement a daily risk cap in the money management module to prevent exceeding 3%-5% total risk exposure.
    • Volatility-Based Adjustment: Use ATR-based position sizing to dynamically adjust the lot size according to market conditions.
  2. Stop Loss (SL) and Take Profit (TP):
    • SL Parameters: Set stop loss at 1.5-2x the ATR value to adapt to XAUUSD’s volatility.
    • TP Parameters: Configure TP at 2-3x ATR or use a predefined RRR (e.g., 1:2 or 1:3) in the setup.
    • Trailing Stop: Enable trailing stops based on ATR or a percentage of the move to capture gains while protecting profits.
  3. Break-Even (BE) Settings:
    • BE Activation: Implement a rule that moves the SL to breakeven when the price moves in your favor by 0.5%-1%.
    • Dynamic BE: Use ATR-based calculations for adjusting the break-even point based on market volatility.
  4. Entry Criteria:
    • Indicators: Configure indicators like RSI, CCI, or Moving Averages for signal generation.
    • Confirmation Filters: Include filters like ATR to ensure the market is in a trending state before taking trades.
    • Multi-Timeframe Analysis: Utilize an H4 timeframe for trend confirmation and an H1 for trade entries.
  5. Exit Strategies:
    • Time-Based Exit: Set a maximum trade holding period (e.g., up to 5 days).
    • Signal-Based Exit: Add indicators like Super Trend or Parabolic SAR to trigger exit conditions.
    • End-of-Day Exit: Configure exits that close positions before significant economic releases or weekends.

Ranking Criteria in SQX:

To choose the most robust strategies for XAUUSD trading that align with FTMO rules, apply the following ranking criteria:

  1. Performance Metrics:
    • CAGR/Max Drawdown: Set a threshold where CAGR/Max Drawdown > 1 for risk-adjusted performance.
    • Sharpe Ratio: Ensure a Sharpe Ratio > 2 for good risk-adjusted returns.
    • Profit Factor: Select strategies with a Profit Factor > 1.5 to ensure more winning trades compared to losing ones.
    • Stability: Use a stability metric of > 0.8 to identify strategies with consistent performance.
    • Open Drawdown: Filter out strategies with Open DD% exceeding 15%.
  2. Risk Management Parameters:
    • Max Daily Loss Check: Filter out strategies that, during backtesting, exceed a 5% daily loss.
    • Max Drawdown Filter: Discard strategies with a maximum drawdown over 10% in backtests.
  3. Consistency Metrics:
    • Consecutive Winning/Losing Trades: Rank strategies with greater than 2 consecutive winning trades and manage strategies that handle consecutive losses effectively.
    • Win Rate and Expectancy: Ensure that the strategy has a win rate that supports profitability, even if lower, as long as the RRR is high.
  4. Adaptive Parameters:
    • Volatility Adaptation: Include strategies that adjust their entries, exits, or stop levels based on ATR changes to handle varying market conditions.
    • Market Regime Testing: Use SQX to test strategies in different market regimes (e.g., trending vs. ranging) to ensure adaptability.

By structuring and ranking strategies this way in SQX, you create a robust, compliant approach for trading XAUUSD under FTMO rules.

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SQX and FTMO Popfirm setup #1

Setting up parameters for trading XAUUSD (Gold) can be pivotal due to its volatility and sensitivity to global economic news. Here’s a guide on configuring entry, take profit (TP), stop loss (SL), break-even (BE), and exit strategies, along with general advice:

1. Entry Parameters:

  • Signal Confirmation: Use multiple indicators for confirmation, such as a combination of a trend indicator (e.g., Moving Average or Kaufman Efficiency Ratio) and a momentum indicator (e.g., RSI or CCI).
  • Timeframes: Focus on the main timeframe (e.g., H1 for execution) and a higher timeframe (e.g., H4) for trend confirmation.
  • Volatility Filter: Apply ATR or Bollinger Bands to avoid entries during low-volatility periods when Gold often consolidates.
  • Breakout Strategy: Consider entries above/below recent highs/lows or breakout levels using Super Trend or Donchian Channels.

2. Take Profit (TP) Setup:

  • Fixed TP Levels: Set TP levels at 2-3 times the ATR value or use Fibonacci extensions (e.g., 161.8% or 261.8%) to target strong price levels.
  • Dynamic TP: Implement a trailing TP based on a percentage of price movement (e.g., 1-2% daily move in XAUUSD).
  • Partial Profit Taking: Lock in partial profits at the first TP level (e.g., 1:1 RRR), while letting the remaining position run to maximize gains.

3. Stop Loss (SL) Placement:

  • ATR-Based SL: Set stop losses at 1.5x-2x the ATR to allow for natural price movement and prevent early exits during typical gold fluctuations.
  • Support/Resistance SL: Place SL just beyond major support or resistance levels identified by pivot points or Fibonacci retracements.
  • Technical Patterns: Ensure SL is positioned outside significant chart patterns (e.g., triangles or channels) to confirm validity.

4. Break-Even (BE) Strategy:

  • Threshold BE: Move SL to breakeven after price moves in your favor by a certain percentage (e.g., 0.5%-1% of the price).
  • Volatility-Adjusted BE: Adjust the break-even point based on current ATR to avoid being stopped out prematurely during high volatility.
  • Two-Step BE: Initially move the SL to breakeven after a moderate profit (e.g., 1 ATR). As the trade progresses, trail the SL based on new ATR readings or key levels.

5. Exit Strategy:

  • End-of-Day Exits: Close positions before key market events or the end of the trading week to avoid overnight gaps and weekend volatility.
  • Time-Based Exits: Set a maximum holding period (e.g., no more than 5 days) to reduce exposure to unexpected market changes.
  • Signal-Based Exits: Use a trailing indicator like the Parabolic SAR or Super Trend for signal-based exits when the trend reverses.
  • Multi-Condition Exits: Combine exit signals from indicators such as RSI (overbought/oversold) and CCI divergences for a robust exit plan.

6. General Advice:

  • Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR): Maintain an RRR of at least 1:2 or greater for each trade to ensure long-term profitability.
  • Volatility Considerations: Gold is sensitive to economic releases like U.S. Non-Farm Payrolls, CPI data, and FOMC meetings. Plan around these dates by reducing position size or closing trades to manage risk.
  • Adaptive Position Sizing: Use a volatility-based position sizing model (e.g., ATR-adjusted) to align trade size with current market conditions.
  • Backtesting and Optimization: Use StrategyQuant X to test the strategy over long periods and different market cycles, ensuring robustness.
  • Portfolio Approach: Consider pairing your Gold strategy with other correlated and non-correlated assets to spread risk and smooth out performance.

 

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If the results exceeds the value you stated

If your results exceed the values I recommended, that’s an excellent indication that you have exceptionally robust and high-performing strategies. Here’s what you should do next to make the most of these outstanding strategies:

1. Prioritize Top-Performing Strategies:

  • Select the Best Strategies: Prioritize strategies that exceed all or most of the values stated. For example, if a strategy has a Ret/DD ratio significantly above 4, a profit factor above 2, and a Sharpe ratio above 2, it’s a top candidate for inclusion in your portfolio.
  • Diversify Within Top Performers: Ensure that your high-performing strategies aren’t too correlated with each other. A diversified set of high-quality strategies will help mitigate risk.

2. Create High-Performance Portfolios:

  • Balance Strategy Types: Build a portfolio that combines different types of strategies (e.g., trend-following, mean reversion, breakout) to create a more resilient and balanced approach.
  • Allocate Capital Strategically: Allocate more capital to strategies that have proven consistent and robust over all testing phases, but keep an eye on overall drawdown to avoid overexposure.
  • Test Portfolio Stability: Run portfolio-level backtests and simulations to check for overall performance metrics like cumulative profit factor, Sharpe ratio, and maximum drawdown.

3. Stress Test and Validation:

  • Monte Carlo Stress Testing: Perform Monte Carlo simulations to see how the portfolio performs under various simulated market conditions. This will help confirm that the strategies maintain high performance even with slight data variations or unexpected market behavior.
  • Out-of-Sample (OOS) and Forward Testing: Ensure the strategies that exceed your stated metrics continue to perform well in OOS data and in live or demo forward testing.

4. Evaluate Long-Term Performance:

  • Assess Stability and Adaptability: Check if the top-performing strategies maintain their edge over longer timeframes and during different market conditions (e.g., trending vs. ranging markets).
  • Monitor Key Metrics: Continuously track the profit factor, Ret/DD ratio, Sharpe ratio, drawdown percentages, and CAGR/Max DD% to ensure these metrics remain favorable over time.

5. Prepare for Live Trading:

  • Simulate Live Trading: Before deploying your portfolio for real capital, simulate live trading with historical data as a final check.
  • Set Risk Management Rules: Establish stop-loss, take-profit, and position sizing rules that align with your high-performing strategy metrics.

6. Performance Monitoring:

  • Regular Performance Review: Once live trading starts, monitor your strategies closely to see if they continue to exceed expectations. Adjust your portfolio as needed based on performance changes.
  • Rebalance Portfolio: Periodically review and rebalance your portfolio to ensure it continues to contain only top-performing strategies that exceed your target metrics.

Benefits of Strategies That Exceed Your Metrics:

  • High Reliability: Strategies with metrics that exceed your thresholds indicate a strong and reliable edge in the market.
  • Risk Mitigation: Exceeding drawdown and stability requirements means these strategies are safer and less likely to encounter major losses.
  • Scalability: Such strategies may allow for greater position sizing or capital allocation due to their high return-to-risk ratios.

Final Thoughts:

If your results are consistently exceeding these values, you are in a very strong position for creating an elite portfolio of trading strategies. Ensure that you maintain rigorous validation and risk management practices as you move forward to capitalize on these high-performing strategies.

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Can i use filters like above for portfolio making

Yes, you can definitely use the filters you listed for building your trading portfolio. Applying these filters ensures that only the most robust and reliable strategies make it into your portfolio, creating a diversified and resilient set of strategies for trading. Here’s how to use these filters effectively when constructing a portfolio:

Steps for Using Filters to Create a Portfolio:

  1. Apply the Filters to Select Strategies:
    • Use your filters (e.g., Profit Factor > 1.4, Ret/DD ratio > 4, Sharpe Ratio > 1.5, etc.) to narrow down your list of strategies.
    • Apply these filters consistently across all testing stages (IS, OOS, and different data precisions) to ensure that the selected strategies are robust and well-suited for real trading.
  2. Select a Diverse Set of Strategies:
    • Mix Strategy Types: Include different types of strategies such as trend-following, mean reversion, breakout, and range trading to diversify your portfolio.
    • Multiple Timeframes: Ensure that your portfolio contains strategies that trade on different timeframes (e.g., H1, M30, M15, M5) to spread risk across various market conditions.
    • Trading Approaches: Include strategies with different entry and exit techniques (e.g., indicators, price action, volatility-based) for a balanced portfolio.
  3. Ensure Correlation Is Low:
    • Check for correlation between the selected strategies. Including highly correlated strategies may increase the overall risk as they might behave similarly during specific market conditions.
    • Aim for strategies that complement each other, so that if one performs poorly, others may compensate for it.
  4. Backtest the Portfolio:
    • Backtest the combined portfolio using your existing filters to evaluate the overall performance metrics such as profit factor, drawdown, Sharpe ratio, and stability.
    • Use a weighted approach for strategy allocation to balance exposure within the portfolio.
  5. Simulate Portfolio with Out-of-Sample (OOS) Data:
    • Run the portfolio through OOS testing and check the combined performance metrics.
    • Ensure that the portfolio maintains acceptable levels of maximum drawdown, stability, and profitability.
  6. Optimize Strategy Allocation:
    • Adjust the capital allocation for each strategy to balance the portfolio risk. For example, allocate more capital to strategies with a higher Sharpe ratio or a better Ret/DD ratio.
    • Ensure the overall portfolio drawdown stays within a risk-tolerant level that aligns with your trading goals.

Benefits of Using These Filters for Portfolio Creation:

  • Consistency: Applying these filters helps ensure that your portfolio strategies are consistently high-quality, reducing the risk of underperformance.
  • Robustness: By selecting strategies that meet your strict criteria across all stages of testing, your portfolio will be more adaptable to various market conditions.
  • Risk Management: Including maximum drawdown and stability filters keeps your portfolio within manageable risk levels.

Final Tips:

  • Monitor Portfolio Performance: After constructing your portfolio, continue to monitor its performance periodically and replace or adjust strategies as needed based on live or forward-test results.
  • Forward Test: Always forward test the portfolio in a demo or live environment with minimal risk to confirm that it behaves as expected.

Using your existing filters as a benchmark for selecting strategies ensures that you build a strong, diversified portfolio capable of sustaining various market conditions.

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Data precision whould be Selected timeframe only , 1 minute data tick or Real tick ?

data precision whould be Selected timeframe only , 1 minute data tick or Real tick ? this is my step now running;

1. Autometic Retest H1/H4 M30/H4 M15/H4 M5/H4 with Selected TF only + Monte and Sequential Optimization Up30% Down30% 10 steps so apply to Strs too

2. do it again like 1. but using 1 minutes data tick simulation

3. No monte i do only Walk-Forward metrix with Real tick data

 

Your multi-step approach for testing and adapting your strategies across different timeframes and data precision is quite comprehensive. Here’s an evaluation of each step and recommendations:

Step-by-Step Review:

  1. Automatic Retest on H1/H4, M30/H4, M15/H4, and M5/H4 with Selected TF Only + Monte Carlo and Sequential Optimization (+/- 30% with 10 Steps):
    • Purpose: This step provides a broad retest and optimization across multiple timeframes, which helps identify how strategies perform under different market conditions and timeframes.
    • Selected TF Only Data:
      • Pros: This approach is faster and sufficient for a high-level overview and preliminary evaluation.
      • Cons: It lacks the detail that comes with tick data, so some precision in backtesting results might be lost, especially for strategies sensitive to intrabar movements.
    • Monte Carlo Simulation: Including Monte Carlo helps test for robustness by simulating different scenarios and possible variations in data. Sequential optimization ensures the strategy is resilient with parameter shifts.

    Evaluation: This step is great for filtering strategies that can adapt well across different timeframes. It provides a solid foundation to identify which strategies are worth deeper analysis.

  2. Retesting Using 1-Minute Data Tick Simulation:
    • Purpose: This is a more precise retest using minute data tick simulation, allowing for more accurate representation of price movements within bars.
    • Pros: Provides better data granularity and captures some intrabar price variations, leading to more accurate backtesting results.
    • Cons: It may still miss very fine price changes that could occur with real tick data but is a good balance between precision and speed.
    • Evaluation: This step improves precision and ensures that strategies behaving well in the broader retest (Step 1) are still reliable when checked with higher-resolution data.
  3. Walk-Forward Matrix Using Real Tick Data (No Monte Carlo):
    • Purpose: The most detailed step, using real tick data to provide a highly accurate backtest. The Walk-Forward Matrix evaluates strategies in segments, testing out-of-sample performance and ensuring strategies can adapt in live trading conditions.
    • Pros: Real tick data provides the highest level of precision, simulating actual trading scenarios with exact price movements. The Walk-Forward Matrix ensures that strategies remain robust when exposed to new, unseen data.
    • Cons: This step is resource-intensive and takes more time to complete.
    • Evaluation: This is an essential step for final validation. Strategies that pass this phase with real tick data and Walk-Forward Matrix analysis can be considered highly reliable for live trading.

Recommendations and Thoughts:

  • Balance Between Speed and Precision: Your approach moves from a broader, faster retest (Selected TF only) to higher-precision testing (1-minute data tick and real tick data). This progression is logical and balances speed with detail.
  • Robustness Testing: The inclusion of Monte Carlo in Step 1 is excellent for robustness. Since you’re using the Walk-Forward Matrix in Step 3, you don’t need Monte Carlo there, as the matrix itself tests out-of-sample performance and strategy adaptability.
  • Selected Timeframe Only vs. Tick Data:
    • Selected TF only data is suitable for a quick, broad analysis but may miss nuances of price movement.
    • 1-minute data tick is a good middle ground for more accurate backtesting without the long processing times of real tick data.
    • Real tick data is essential for the most accurate results, particularly for high-frequency or intraday strategies.

Final Thoughts:

Your planned approach is comprehensive and well-structured. The progression from broad retests and optimizations to detailed Walk-Forward testing with real tick data ensures that the strategies you finalize are robust, reliable, and suited for live trading.

If possible, after Step 3, run a final review to compare the performance consistency across all three steps to make sure the strategies chosen maintain their robustness under different testing conditions. This will help identify truly versatile strategies.

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Should I retest with adjusted parameters?

When retesting strategies from XAUUSD on a new pair like AUDUSD, you should first consider retesting with the original parameters before adjusting them. Here’s why, and the next steps if adjustments are needed:

Initial Retesting Without Adjustments:

  • Purpose: This helps you identify which strategies are naturally robust and can perform well across different currency pairs without any changes. It acts as a preliminary filter.
  • Benefits:
    • Saves Time: Quickly narrows down strategies that might be applicable to AUDUSD.
    • Robustness Check: Strategies that perform well on both pairs without adjustments are likely more reliable in various market conditions.
  • Approach: Load the strategies and run them on AUDUSD historical data to evaluate their performance metrics (e.g., profit factor, drawdown, Sharpe ratio).

Adjusting Parameters for Retest:

  • When to Adjust: If you find that many strategies are underperforming or only partially meet your criteria, consider retesting with adjusted parameters to better match the characteristics of AUDUSD.
  • How to Adjust:
    • Fine-Tune Key Parameters: Adjust strategy-specific inputs like moving average periods, stop loss, take profit, or trailing stop distances to align with AUDUSD’s volatility and behavior.
    • Adjust Risk Settings: AUDUSD may have different average volatility and trading volume compared to XAUUSD, so tweaking risk parameters can help improve performance.
  • Benefits:
    • Better Suitability: Tailors the strategies more specifically to AUDUSD.
    • Potential Performance Improvement: Strategies that did not perform well in the initial retest may show significant improvement after adjustments.

Recommended Workflow:

  1. Retest Without Adjustments: Start with a simple retest to identify strategies that work out-of-the-box on AUDUSD.
  2. Review Metrics: Analyze the retest results and focus on strategies that meet a minimum performance threshold.
  3. Adjust and Retest:
    • If you find strategies that are close to being successful, adjust their parameters and retest.
    • Use optimization to find the best set of parameters, but be careful to avoid overfitting.

Key Considerations:

  • Balance: Adjusting parameters can enhance performance, but too much adjustment risks overfitting. Aim for a balance that maintains general strategy robustness.
  • Start Small: Test parameter adjustments on a smaller set of top-performing strategies before applying them to a larger group.

In summary, start with a straightforward retest without changes. If needed, proceed to fine-tune the strategies’ parameters for AUDUSD to enhance performance and adaptability.

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Now i’ve over 3x,000 Strs. from XAUUSD. for best way i need to adapting those tons of Strs to another pairs like AudUsd what ill do by,..

To adapt your 30,000 XAUUSD strategies to another currency pair like AUDUSD, here’s a breakdown of the best approach for each option:

Option A: Retest

  • Explanation: Run the existing XAUUSD strategies on AUDUSD data without changing any parameters.
  • Pros:
    • Quick Validation: Gives an initial indication of which strategies perform well on a different pair.
    • Robustness Check: Helps identify strategies that are adaptable to different market conditions.
  • Cons:
    • No Optimization: Strategies may not perform as well without adjustments specific to AUDUSD’s characteristics.
  • Best Use Case: Use this approach to filter out strategies that work well on both pairs without modification.

Option B: Directly Optimize

  • Explanation: Use the XAUUSD strategies as a base and optimize their parameters for AUDUSD.
  • Pros:
    • Better Performance: Allows the strategies to adapt their parameters to AUDUSD’s unique behavior.
    • Fine-Tuning: Ensures that strategies are more specifically suited for the new pair.
  • Cons:
    • Time-Consuming: Optimization takes time and computing power.
    • Risk of Overfitting: There’s a chance of over-optimization, making the strategy less robust in live trading.
  • Best Use Case: Use this approach when you need to adapt high-potential strategies to a new pair and improve their performance.

Option C: New Build from Existing Strategies for Initial Strategy

  • Explanation: Use insights and structures from the XAUUSD strategies to build new initial strategies for AUDUSD.
  • Pros:
    • Customization: Allows for incorporating lessons learned from XAUUSD strategies while tailoring them for AUDUSD.
    • Better Adaptability: The resulting strategies can be optimized specifically for AUDUSD from the start.
  • Cons:
    • Takes Longer: Building and testing new strategies requires more time and effort than retesting or direct optimization.
  • Best Use Case: Ideal when you need the most tailored and potentially robust strategies for AUDUSD.

Recommendation:

  1. Start with Option A (Retest): Quickly filter out adaptable strategies to see which ones perform well on AUDUSD without any modifications.
  2. Proceed to Option B (Directly Optimize): Optimize the top-performing strategies from the retest phase to enhance their performance on AUDUSD.
  3. Use Option C (New Build): If you find that most strategies require significant adjustments, build new initial strategies using the structures and successful elements from the XAUUSD strategies.

This approach allows you to balance speed, adaptability, and performance to create a robust set of strategies for AUDUSD.

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Primary Filters for Portfolio Selection (Including IS and OOS)

Primary Filters for Portfolio Selection (Including IS and OOS)

When building portfolios in Portfolio Master and selecting strategies for long-term stability and profitability, you can use Primary Filters that incorporate both In-Sample (IS) and Out-of-Sample (OOS) testing. This approach will ensure that your portfolios are robust not only in the training phase but also in unseen market conditions.

Primary Filters for IS and OOS:

  1. CAGR/Max DD% > 1 (IS & OOS)
    • IS: Indicates good profitability relative to risk during the training phase.
    • OOS: Ensures the strategy maintains profitability and does not suffer from overfitting when exposed to new market data.
  2. Sharpe Ratio > 2 (IS & OOS)
    • IS: A Sharpe Ratio > 2 ensures that the strategy provides strong returns relative to the risk in the historical data.
    • OOS: A Sharpe Ratio > 2 in OOS testing confirms that the strategy is stable and continues to provide a good risk-to-return ratio when tested on new data.
  3. Profit Factor > 1.5 (IS & OOS)
    • IS: Profit Factor > 1.5 indicates that profitable trades outweigh losses during the in-sample test.
    • OOS: In OOS, this shows that the strategy maintains profitability when applied to unseen data, confirming its robustness.
  4. Stability > 0.8 (IS & OOS)
    • IS: Ensures the strategy is not prone to extreme fluctuations and behaves in a predictable manner during training.
    • OOS: Stability > 0.8 in OOS ensures that the strategy’s performance is consistent and not erratic in unseen conditions.
  5. Open Drawdown % < 15 (IS & OOS)
    • IS: Limiting Open Drawdown to < 15% reduces the risk of large temporary losses during the testing phase.
    • OOS: The same limitation in OOS testing ensures that the strategy remains resilient and avoids high-risk exposure when applied live.
  6. Max Drawdown % < 30 (OOS)
    • Focus on limiting the overall Max Drawdown to less than 30% in OOS. It will help maintain manageable risk levels in live trading conditions.

Ranking and Portfolio Creation Process:

  1. Filter IS Strategies:
    • Start by applying the above filters to your in-sample (IS) strategies to identify the top performers in your test period.
    • Select those strategies with the highest combined CAGR/Max DD%, Sharpe Ratio, and Profit Factor as the initial candidates for portfolio construction.
  2. Evaluate OOS Performance:
    • Once you have the IS candidates, reapply the same filters to assess their out-of-sample (OOS) performance.
    • Focus on Stability, Profit Factor, Sharpe Ratio, and Open Drawdown in OOS. This will confirm that the strategies maintain profitability and stability under new market conditions.
  3. Create Portfolios:
    • Create 4–6 portfolios with 4–8 strategies each, prioritizing those that perform well in both IS and OOS.
    • Ensure diversity in the portfolios, balancing strategies with high Profit Factor and those with low drawdowns.
  4. Remove/Reuse Strategies:
    • Once a portfolio is built, you can either remove those strategies from your selection pool and repeat the process for the next portfolio, or keep all strategies in the pool to maximize utilization.
    • This way, you can create up to 12 portfolios without overusing any single strategy, optimizing the distribution across your available 500 strategies.

By following this method, you’ll create well-balanced portfolios that are both highly profitable and resistant to market changes, ensuring long-term success.

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Count and listing used indicators passed strategies.

To match your available signals to the 12 strategies, let’s review and count which indicators would be appropriate for each trading strategy from the list of signals you provided.

Trading Strategies and Potential Indicator Matches:

  1. Price Action Trading
    Indicators: Candle Pattern, Fractal, Highest Lowest, Moving Average, Bollinger Bands, Fibonacci (custom code possible)
  2. Range Trading Strategy
    Indicators: Bollinger Bands, ATR, RSI, Stochastic, Disparity Index, Keltner Channel
  3. Trend Trading Strategy
    Indicators: Momentum, Moving Average, Ichimoku, Super Trend, Parabolic SAR, Kaufman Efficiency Ratio, MACD, Vortex, Hull Moving Average, CSSA Market Regime, ADX (if included later)
  4. Position Trading
    Indicators: RSI, Momentum, MACD, Moving Average, Kaufman Efficiency Ratio, VWAP, Ichimoku
  5. Day Trading Strategy
    Indicators: Stochastic, RSI, ATR, VWAP, Bollinger Bands, Momentum, Williams %R, Connors RSI, KAMA
  6. Scalping Strategy
    Indicators: ATR, Stochastic, RSI, VWAP, Momentum, Parabolic SAR, Fractal, Disparity Index, Gann Hi Lo
  7. Swing Trading
    Indicators: RSI, MACD, Stochastic, Kaufman Efficiency Ratio, Super Trend, Williams %R, Bollinger Bands, Keltner Channel
  8. Carry Trade Strategy
    Indicators: ATR, RSI, Moving Average, Hull Moving Average, VWAP, Gann Hi Lo
  9. Breakout Strategy
    Indicators: Bollinger Bands, ATR, RSI, Momentum, ADX, Super Trend, TTM Squeeze, MACD, Williams %R
  10. News Trading
    Indicators: ATR, RSI, Momentum, Disparity Index, Super Trend, VWAP
  11. Retracement Trading
    Indicators: RSI, Fibonacci Retracement (custom), MACD, Stochastic, Kaufman Efficiency Ratio, Williams %R
  12. Grid Trading
    Indicators: ATR, RSI, Moving Average, VWAP, Bollinger Bands, Super Trend

Indicators used from your list:

  1. ATR
  2. Bollinger Bands
  3. Candle Pattern
  4. Connors RSI
  5. CSSA Market Regime
  6. Disparity Index
  7. Fractal
  8. Gann Hi Lo
  9. Hull Moving Average
  10. Ichimoku
  11. KAMA
  12. Kaufman Efficiency Ratio
  13. Keltner Channel
  14. MACD
  15. Momentum
  16. Moving Average
  17. Parabolic SAR
  18. RSI
  19. Stochastic
  20. Super Trend
  21. TTM Squeeze
  22. VWAP
  23. Williams %R
  24. Vortex

Count:

  • Total unique indicators used: 24

These are indicators that match the various strategies you are working with, excluding the ones you mentioned you don’t want (like ADX, MACD, RSI, and ATR). Some of these indicators can work across multiple strategies, making them versatile tools for your trading system.